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git.stella-ops.org/docs/risk/factors.md
StellaOps Bot f0662dd45f feat: Implement DefaultCryptoHmac for compliance-aware HMAC operations 
- Added DefaultCryptoHmac class implementing ICryptoHmac interface.
- Introduced purpose-based HMAC computation methods.
- Implemented verification methods for HMACs with constant-time comparison.
- Created HmacAlgorithms and HmacPurpose classes for well-known identifiers.
- Added compliance profile support for HMAC algorithms.
- Included asynchronous methods for HMAC computation from streams.
2025-12-06 00:41:04 +02:00

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Risk Factors

Aligned to CONTRACT-RISK-SCORING-002 (published 2025-12-05). Keep fixtures deterministic and offline-friendly.

Purpose

  • Catalog supported factors (exploit likelihood, VEX state, reachability, runtime facts, fix availability, asset criticality, provenance trust, tenant overrides) and how they normalize into risk math.

Scope & Audience

  • Audience: risk engineers, policy authors, platform SREs.
  • In scope: factor definitions, required/optional fields, normalization rules, TTLs, provenance expectations.
  • Out of scope: full formula math (see formulas.md), API wiring (see api.md).

Factor Catalog (mirrors profile signals[])

Factor Required fields Optional fields Notes
CVSS / exploit likelihood name, source, type:"numeric", path, transform:"normalize_10" unit:"score", last_seen, confidence Normalize 0–10 to 0–1; clamp and keep original in provenance.
KEV flag name, source, type:"boolean", path last_seen Boolean boost; drives severity overrides/decisions.
Reachability name, source, type:"numeric", path unit:"score", guards May fuse static reachability + runtime observation; ordered by entrypoint/path hash.
Runtime facts name, source, type:"categorical" or "numeric", path trace_id, span_id Includes host/container identity and provenance for runtime traces.
Fix availability name, source, type, path mitigation, vendor_status Decay older advisories; keep mitigation text intact.
Asset criticality name, source, type, path tenant_scope, owner Used as multiplier/guard in formulas.
Provenance trust name, source, type:"categorical", path key_id, chain_of_custody Gate low-trust inputs; must carry attestation hash.
Custom overrides name, source, type, path override_reason, reviewer, expires_at Logged and expiring; surfaced in signal_contributions.

Normalization Rules

  • Validate against profile signals.type and known transforms; reject unknown fields.
  • Clamp numeric inputs to 0–1; record original value in provenance for audit.
  • TTL/decay: apply per-factor defaults (pending payload fixtures); drop expired signals deterministically.
  • Precedence: signed → unsigned; runtime → static; newer → older; when tied, lowest hash order.

Interim notes: follow legacy profile guidance — preserve provenance, never mutate source evidence, and keep ordering stable so explainability hashes are repeatable across UI/CLI/exports.

Determinism & Ordering

  • Sort factors by factor_type then source then timestamp_utc; deterministic hashing for fixtures.
  • Record SHA256 for sample payloads in docs/risk/samples/factors/SHA256SUMS once provided.

Open Items

  • Sample payloads per factor for fixtures + hashes.
  • TTL/decay parameters from Risk Engine Guild.
  • Provenance attestation examples (signed runtime traces, KEV ingestion evidence).

References

  • docs/risk/overview.md
  • docs/risk/profiles.md
  • docs/risk/formulas.md
  • docs/risk/api.md