Here’s a tight, practical blueprint for evolving Stella Ops’s policy engine into a **fully deterministic verdict engine**—so the *same SBOM + VEX + reachability subgraph ⇒ the exact same, replayable verdict* every time, with auditor‑grade trails and signed “delta verdicts.”

# Why this matters (quick)

* **Reproducibility:** auditors can replay any scan and get identical results.
* **Trust & scale:** cross‑agent consensus via content‑addressed inputs and signed outputs.
* **Operational clarity:** diffs between builds become crisp, machine‑verifiable artifacts.

# Core principles

* **Determinism-first:** no wall‑clock time, no random iteration order, no network during evaluation.
* **Content‑addressing:** hash every *input* (SBOM, VEX docs, reachability subgraph, policy set, rule versions, feed snapshots).
* **Declarative state:** a compact **Scan Manifest** lists input hashes + policy bundle hash + engine version.
* **Pure evaluation:** the verdict function is referentially transparent: `Verdict = f(Manifest)`.

# Data artifacts

* **Scan Manifest (`manifest.jsonc`)**

  * `sbom_sha256`, `vex_set_sha256[]`, `reach_subgraph_sha256`, `feeds_snapshot_sha256`, `policy_bundle_sha256`, `engine_version`, `policy_semver`, `options_hash`
* **Verdict (`verdict.json`)**

  * canonical JSON (stable key order); includes:

    * `risk_score`, `status` (pass/warn/fail), `unknowns_count`
    * **evidence_refs:** content IDs for cited VEX statements, nodes/edges from reachability, CVE records, feature‑flags, env‑guards
    * **explanations:** stable, template‑driven strings (+ machine reasons)
* **Delta Verdict (`delta.json`)**

  * computed between two manifests/verdicts:

    * `added_findings[]`, `removed_findings[]`, `severity_shift[]`, `unknowns_delta`, `policy_effects[]`
  * signed (DSSE/COSE/JWS), time‑stamped, and linkable to both verdicts

# Engine architecture (deterministic path)

1. **Normalize inputs**

   * SBOM: sort by `packageUrl`/`name@version`; resolve aliases; freeze semver comparison rules.
   * VEX: normalize provider → `vex_id`, `product_ref`, `status` (`affected`, `not_affected`, …), *with* source trust score precomputed from a **trust registry** (strict, versioned).
   * Reachability: store subgraph as adjacency lists sorted by node ID; hash after topological stable ordering.
   * Feeds: lock to a **snapshot** (timestamp + commit/hash); no live calls.
2. **Policy bundle**

   * Declarative rules (e.g., lattice/merge semantics), compiled to a **canonical IR** (e.g., OPA‑Rego → sorted DNF).
   * Merge precedence is explicit (e.g., `vendor > distro > internal` can be replaced by a lattice‑merge table).
   * Unknowns policy baked in: e.g., `fail_if_unknowns > N in prod`.
3. **Evaluation**

   * Build a **finding set**: `(component, vuln, context)` tuples with deterministic IDs.
   * Apply **lattice‑based VEX merge** (proof‑carrying): each suppression must carry an evidence pointer (feature flag off, code path unreachable, patched‑backport proof).
   * Compute final `status` and `risk_score` using fixed‑precision math; round rules are part of the bundle.
4. **Emit**

   * Canonicalize verdict JSON; attach **evidence map** (content IDs only).
   * Sign verdict; attach as **OCI attestation** to image/digest.

# APIs (minimal but complete)

* `POST /evaluate` → returns `verdict.json` + attestation
* `POST /delta` with `{base_verdict, head_verdict}` → `delta.json` (signed)
* `GET /replay?manifest_sha=` → re‑executes using cached snapshot bundles, returns the same `verdict_sha`
* `GET /evidence/:cid` → fetches immutable evidence blobs (offline‑ready)

# Storage & indexing

* **CAS (content‑addressable store):** `/evidence/<sha256>` for SBOM/VEX/graphs/feeds/policies.
* **Verdict registry:** keyed by `(image_digest, manifest_sha, engine_version)`.
* **Delta ledger:** append‑only, signed; supports cross‑agent consensus (multiple engines can co‑sign identical deltas).

# UI slices (where it lives)

* **Run details → “Verdict” tab:** status, risk score, unknowns, top evidence links.
* **“Diff” tab:** render **Delta Verdict** (added/removed/changed), with drill‑down to proofs.
* **“Replay” button:** shows the exact manifest & engine version; one‑click re‑evaluation (offline possible).
* **Audit export:** zip of `manifest.jsonc`, `verdict.json`, `delta.json` (if any), attestation, and referenced evidence.

# Testing & QA (must‑have)

* **Golden tests:** fixtures of manifests → frozen verdict JSONs (byte‑for‑byte).
* **Chaos determinism tests:** vary thread counts, env vars, map iteration seeds; assert identical verdicts.
* **Cross‑engine round‑trips:** two independent builds of the engine produce the same verdict for the same manifest.
* **Time‑travel tests:** replay older feed snapshots to ensure stability.

# Rollout plan

1. **Phase 1:** Introduce Manifest + canonical verdict format alongside existing policy engine (shadow mode).
2. **Phase 2:** Make verdicts the **first‑class artifact** (OCI‑attached); ship UI “Verdict/Diff”.
3. **Phase 3:** Enforce **delta‑gates** in CI/CD (risk budgets + exception packs referenceable by content ID).
4. **Phase 4:** Open **consensus mode**—accept externally signed identical delta verdicts to strengthen trust.

# Notes for Stella modules

* **scanner.webservice:** keep lattice algorithms here (per your standing rule). Concelier/Excitors “preserve‑prune source.”
* **Authority/Attestor:** handle DSSE signing, key management, regional crypto profiles (eIDAS/FIPS/GOST/SM).
* **Feedser/Vexer:** produce immutable **snapshot bundles**; never query live during evaluation.
* **Router/Scheduler:** schedule replay jobs; cache manifests to speed up audits.
* **Db:** Postgres as SoR; Valkey only for ephemeral queues/caches (per your BSD‑only profile).

If you want, I can generate:

* a sample **Manifest + Verdict + Delta** trio,
* the **canonical JSON schema**,
* and a **.NET 10** reference evaluator (deterministic LINQ pipeline + fixed‑precision math) you can drop into `scanner.webservice`.